First look at the Cotton Bowl

Is this the meteor game of the quarterfinals?

Wednesday night the CFP kicks into high gear as the #2 Ohio State Buckeyes and the #10 Miami Hurricanes meet in Dallas for the privilege of moving on to Glendale and the Fiesta Bowl. Neither team won their respective conference. Miami didn’t even play for their championship because of some crazy, convoluted tiebreaker. Ohio State let Indiana off the hook in Indianapolis because they screwed up a QB sneak, missed a chip shot FG, and didn’t feed the beast Jeremiah Smith. Let’s get to the first look.

Series record: The overall series is tied at 2 with Miami holding a 1 game streak in the series

Last meeting: In 2011, the Canes beat the Buckeyes 24-6 in Miami. The Miami defense holds Ohio State to 209 yards while gaining 363 yards including 240 on the ground. 2 1st half interceptions prevent the game from getting out of hand early. Here is anOSU’s passing line:

That’s Blutarsky-esque.

Gambling degenerate facts: Caesar’s has Ohio State as a 9.5 point favorite with a -360 on the money line and a point total of 42.0.

How should a refugee watch this game: Of course, refugees should be interested in this game. If the Dawgs win on Thursday night, we’ll face the winner in Arizona for a chance to play for a national championship. Ohio State’s offense has struggled to score points against the 2 teams who could match them with a total of 24 points against Texas and Indiana. Is the Ohio State everyone thought would run roughshod through college football going to show up as it did last year? Can Carson Beck play a clean game for 60 minutes against a defense similar to the ones he saw in practice in Athens?

Interesting statistic: 2.87 and 2.83 (rushing yards allowed per attempt)

Both teams have NFL quality front 7s and are extremely difficult to run on. The team that finds some semblance of a running game probably wins. The Buckeyes gave up 166 yards to Texas, 100 to Michigan, and 118 to Indiana. Miami gave up 93 to Notre Dame and 89 to Texas A&M while Louisville gained 119 in their win over the Canes. The troubling stat here for Miami was the 194 given up to Virginia Tech.

Early outlook: The previous section shows my key to the game. Miami’s path to victory means taking some pressure off Carson Beck to win the game with his arm and to use the running game to stay out of 3rd and medium to long. On defense, it means getting Sayin into uncomfortable situations that force him to make plays. Ohio State has shown they can win when they lose the rushing battle (see the Texas game), but they also lost the ground game to Indiana. On defense, the best way to force Beck into mistakes is keep the Canes behind the chains.

I like the team that has the best player on the field, and that’s Ohio State with Smith. Will the Just for Men spokescoach force feed him the ball now that it’s win or go home time? I would, but the Ohio State defense is the reason I like them.

Final Score: Ohio State 24, Miami 17

What do you think? Let us know in the comments.

The weekend that was at Message Board Geniuses – Championship Weekend edition

Frankly, Championship Weekend wasn’t chaotic other than the impact of the World’s Smallest Outdoor Cocktail Party on the make-up of the final 12. Indiana, Miami and James Madison ended up as the big winners while one team that was at home not playing clearly ended up as the biggest loser. The message boards didn’t disappoint as a result.

Let’s start this week in Jerry World where the Cougar faithful still have a delusion they are playoff worthy after being smoked twice by Texas Tech.

BYU lost worse on Saturday afternoon than they did in Lubbock earlier in the season. -4 turnover margin and a total of 200 yards of total offense? They’re lucky the beatdown wasn’t worse. To then turn around and say you’re more deserving/qualified than Notre Dame and Miami just says you truly are a message board genius.

For the other side of the coin, Texas Tech has played no one. Yesterday was the most I’ve seen of them. They looked like TCU in 2022. I’m calling it now Oregon is going to manhandle them in Miami.

Let’s move on up to South Bend to check on the crybabies of Notre Dame.

I don’t know if Notre Dame should have gotten selected or not. Tommy Lee Jones in The Fugitive expressed my thoughts on this:

They lost the 2 games they played against teams that ended up in the playoff. They didn’t have a 13th “data point” this weekend to remove all doubt by winning a conference title. These geniuses predicted it:

Notre Dame flips off the rest of college football because they didn’t get an at-large spot they believe they are entitled to. They decide to give up the 15 bowl practices and end their season rather than finish the season.

I lost a bunch of respect Marcus Freeman earned from this Dawg fan from his defense at Cincinnati and his job last year in New Orleans. I can’t imagine Kirby pulling a stunt like this.

Let’s jump over to Indianapolis to check the temperature of the most obnoxious fans in sports, the Ohio State Buckeyes.

The Buckeyes get beaten by Indiana to break a 30 game winning streak, and the Buckeyes fall all the way to #2. That fan base has a love/hate relationship with the Just for Men spokescoach. I watched a little of the game last night and saw enough to know neither team scares me if we show up with bad intentions in a semifinal or in the final.

I’m sure this genius will talk about this Ohio State as the best team of all time if they happen to win it all.

Let’s finish this week’s trip in the ATL where the Dawgs vanquish Alabama in a situation that hasn’t been kind in the past.

F-bum is likely to be golden later today if geniuses like this call in. I saw so much Bammer bravado on X in the run-up to the game. Any Bammer who would rather lose to Auburn to fire a coach ain’t a Bama fan at all.

Another Bammer whiner is probably now talking about they are going to take Indiana out.

Maybe someone needs to tell this guy that Alabama has scored a total of 7 points in the last 6 quarters against the Georgia defense. I don’t think they want any part of a 3rd time around with us. If we saw them in Miami in the championship game, my prediction for the Bammers would be pain

Seeing the Bammers this broken makes this Dawg smile. Now we need to go to Tuscaloosa next year and drive a stake through the heart of the Bama program.

Let’s stop off to check in on the nerds of North Avenue after the Dawgs sucked the souls out of Alabama:

The Jacketasses can only live vicariously through the programs that are our equal. I hope we have 3 more chances to suck the life out of every one of Dr. Pimple Popper’s clients in West Midtown as we go on this playoff run.

Let’s take some lessons from the Cleveland Indians over the next month:

What did you see this weekend? Let us know in the comments.

Fabris Pool Bowl Pickem Championship Game Reminder

We’re coming to the close of another CFB season…don’t forget to make your Two Mules Fighting Over a Turnip National Championship game pick AND tiebreaker score between Can’t Beat Michigan and Lost to Northern Illinois.

Gross. Got my notifications set on my SkyView app for that meteor.

Your humble commish,

Dawglicious

First look at the Rose Bowl … the meteor game of the quarters

Jeff Foxworthy may have a question for these two

I hated writing that headline, but I’ve run into more than a couple of Oregon fans on X over the last week who believe college football began when Phil Knight started pouring his personal wealth into the Oregon football programWhile , and probably aren’t aware of how bad for decades Oregon was in all sports except track and field. I was in southern California a number of years ago where I saw a number of Oregon supporters at Disneyland. They reminded me of the fans of the school that thinks college football started in 1990 and ended in 2010 … the Handbags.

Anyway, I love Dan Lanning and detest the Just for Men spokescoach, Ryan Day. While Oregon fans don’t rise to the toxicity level of Ohio State, I only have the perspective that someone has to lose, so I’m here for the impending fan meltdown occurring about 8:00 on Wednesday night regardless of who is doing the melting. Let’s get to the first look at run for the roses.

Series Record: Ohio State leads 9-2, but Oregon enjoys a 2-game winning streak in the series.

Last Meeting:  Oregon knocked off Ohio State 32-31 earlier this season in Autzen Stadium in what was likely the best game of the season to date. Oregon kicked a late field goal and then held off a final drive using an illegal substitution penalty as a way to waste precious seconds off the clock. The teams combined for over 960 yards of total offense with a -1 turnover margin being the difference maker for Ohio State.

Gambling Degenerate Facts: Ohio State is a 2.5-point favorite and is -109 on the money line (Oregon is -111) with a point total of 55.

How Should a Refugee Watch This Game: I know many of you will be watching the game to pull for Coach Lanning and to get Ohio State out of the playoff. I can totally understand that perspective. That’s the only reason I consider Oregon as the lesser of two evils. I detest Ohio State … enough said.

From the perspective of the game itself, as Georgia fans, I’m guessing many of us haven’t seen much of Oregon this year. I’ll be watching them to see how well we may match up with them if the two teams meet in the championship game especially against the Oregon passing game. I’m also interested in how we can find a way to move the ball consistently against the Oregon defense.

Interesting Statistic: 4.06 / 4.89 yards per play allowed by OSU and Oregon, respectively

The teams have been generally mirror images of one another, but the OSU defense has been consistently better than the Oregon defense throughout the season. The difference in yards per play really reflects how the Buckeyes’ defense has been the unit that Day has built his team around. They have been solid against both run (2.94 yards per carry allowed) and pass (104.06 defensive passer rating) and have been spectacular defending the red zone (59% conversion rate with touchdowns only being scored on 63% of those red zone conversions).

Early Outlook

As I have thought about this game, the more and more I come back to the fact that the main reason Oregon won round 1 due to a short field created by an early turnover although Oregon made plenty of mistakes as well. If one of the teams plays a clean game from a turnover and penalty standpoint, that team is likely going to have the inside track to victory. If OSU puts a game together like they did in Columbus against Tennessee, the Buckeyes will win. The Ducks are going to need to be better on defense than in game 1 to advance to the semifinal in Dallas.

While I hate the prediction, I just think Ohio State eventually gets the job done and sends Oregon back to Phil Knight for more NIL money to spend in the transfer portal. Ohio State heads to Dallas to get a shot at the winner of the Peach Bowl.

What do you think? Let us know in the comments below.

The weekend that was at Message Board Geniuses – 1st round edition

Who’s to blame now, Bobby?

I spent Friday night and Saturday at Disney World with the family, so I only checked in on the games when I had a chance. I think we can say the 1st round games delivered in proving college football is different from the NFL and March Madness. Talent matters, and Bobby Hill is overrated.

Let’s start our trip in South Bend where Marcus Freeman’s defense destroyed Indiana’s hope of a Hoosier state title.

Imagine not winning a game against a team currently ranked in the top 25 and being splattered by the 1 you did play. Indiana, you were a cute story throughout the year, but you should have been playing in a New Year’s 6 bowl or having a nice postseason celebration of your season in a sunny locale. Instead, you are home for the holidays with the most empty calorie 11-2 record we’ve seen since Hawaii got scattered, smothered, covered and chunked in the 2008 Sugar Bowl.

On the Notre Dame side, your All-American tailback gained 108 yards and you had almost 200 yards on the ground … good for you. 98 of those came on one play. Let me just put it this way. You aren’t going to overwhelm the Georgia line of scrimmage.

Let’s move over to State College for the Death Penalty Bowl to check in on the Ponies.

I said last week that SMU was this year’s TCU except TCU won a playoff game. This game was the classic “the moment was too big and they pissed down their leg” Coach 30 moment. Penn State had 74 yards of offense and a 14-0 lead due to 2 pick 6s. At that moment, the game was out of reach.

The big question coming out of the first 2 games is whether either of these 2 schools were worthy of an at-large bid. I think it’s safe to say the answer is no.

Let’s move on to Austin for what would turn out to be the game of the weekend.

A really bad 2nd quarter dooms Dabo and the Tiggers. Clemson cuts the lead to 7 and then gives up a long TD run to put the game away. To the geniuses on TigerNet, who are you going to hire to take Dabo’s place? Clemson is still the team in the ACC best constructed to play deep into January. Is Dabo the best in-game coach? No way. Has he built a program and a culture that can stand the test of time? I think so. The problem is he doesn’t have a pair of championship-quality coordinators to lean on for game planning and recruiting.

I did find this troll to be humorous.

Let’s end the trip segment of the weekend in Columbus. Damn, why didn’t the meteor show up?

Tennessee social media and message boards could be the most toxic in the world of the CFB internet. I admit I got this one wrong … bad wrong. Tennessee got boat raced. Jeremiah Smith is a man. Nico is still way overrated. When you get outcoached by the Just for Men spokescoach, you pretty much suck.

What’s the excuse this time, Vols? Face it. Your coach runs up big numbers against inferior competition, finds magic for a game every other year (Bama in Kneeland), and looks lousy against teams that are superior.

There’s going to be a winter of discontent in Knoxville.

What does all of this mean for Georgia? While ND doesn’t scare me, they could be a tough out if we don’t have a good game plan for Gunner or our execution sucks … not a time for a slow start. Penn State feasted on a QB not ready for prime time. Our offensive line will have to play their asses off in a game with them. Texas and Ohio State are both troublesome. Hopefully, Gunner has settled in by the time we possibly get to one of them.

For a bonus feature, here are some tidbits from other boards over the weekend.

Talk about toxic, bunch of Yankee idiots.
Ole Miss fans dunk on the Laner.
24-3, anyone?

What did you see this weekend? Let us know in the comments below.

Them’s fightin’ words

In the SEC, it just means more … that has a line. Dolly Parton is one of those lines. I hate Tennessee with a white hot passion, but Dolly is untouchable. The ladies in my household consider her a national treasure.

Fans like this guy are exactly why I call Ohio State fans toxic. They suck.

If this guy pulled this garbage in Knoxville, that jackass would get his ass kicked up and down Cumberland Avenue.

I would like for this guy to run into the Dolly Parton from this.

Sorry, I had to vent about this, and it doesn’t make me feel any less good about the way Bobby Hill and Tooth Nation got taken behind the Horseshoe on Saturday night.

Who are the sacred cows to you when you think about Georgia or our rivals? Who is untouchable in the modern roasting world? Let us know in the comments.

First look at the CFP meteor game

Lulu & Junior vs. Big Nut – Sad fans are sad.

Saturday night in the Horseshoe in Columbus is the most anticipated of the 4 1st round CFP games. Some of the most obnoxious, toxic fans in the sport will be represented as Tennessee and Ohio State square off on a cold Saturday night. Ohio State’s offseason national champions disappointed by losing 2 games and not appearing in the B1G championship game, and Tennessee lost to a very mediocre Arkansas team in Fayetteville and a fired up Georgia team in Athens. This game has all of the makings of a great 4 quarter game. Let’s get to the preview.

Series Record: Tennessee leads 1-0.

Last Meeting: Tennessee beat Ohio State 20-14 in the 1996 Citrus Bowl. Ohio State with Heisman winner Eddie George only generates 89 yards of rushing against John Chavis’s Tennessee defense, who has a +3 turnover margin. Peyton Manning has a pedestrian game while Jay Graham runs for 154 yards and is named the game’s most outstanding player. As a result, Tennessee finishes the season in the top 3 in both polls.

Gambling Degenerate Facts: The Harrah’s sports book at the Venetian has Ohio State as a 7.5 favorite with a money line of -278 and a point total of 47.

How Should a Refugee Watch This Game: I’m guessing there are some readers here that are going to pull for Tennessee to win in Columbus whether that’s because of SEC vs. B1G, Southerners vs. Yankees, Bobby Hill over Just for Men, etc. I’m guessing the only Dawg fans who want Ohio State to win are those in the Chattanooga area around Ringgold (Moe Pritchett, looking at you, sir). A lot of us including myself feel like Hope does here:

Interesting Statistic: Tennessee 29.52% Ohio State – 33.73% defensive 3rd down conversion

Given the stoutness of both defenses throughout the season (both only allowed 30+ points once this season to Georgia and Oregon, respectively), I would assume there will be a lot of 3rd downs. The team that gets into 3rd and manageable more often and converts will be the likely winner.

Early Outlook

Yes, it’s going to be cold. In this game, I don’t believe this is going to be a big difference maker as Ohio State has not been built to play outdoor games in December and Tennessee players deal with offseason cold during the winter. I may be wrong about this, but this just doesn’t seem to be the huge difference maker in this game.

Without turnovers or special teams play, I don’t see this game getting out of the 20s. At quarterback, I’m not a big fan of Will Howard. He just doesn’t appear to be the type of player who can put the Buckeyes on his shoulders and will them to victory as other anOSU QBs have done recently. Nico I is going to be playing in the biggest game of his young career, but once again, he hasn’t been the world beater everyone thought he was going to be stepping in for Joe Milton.

At the line of scrimmage, I really like the defensive line of the Vols against the offensive line of the Bucks. If they play well, there are going to be havoc plays available to them. Will they create something for Tennessee?

I’ve gone with favorites up until now. Give me the Vols in a straight-up upset at +222 (I haven’t bet on them). If this happens, will the Just for Men spokescoach be employed in Columbus on Sunday morning?

I still am rooting for this outcome on Saturday night.

What do you think? Let us know in the comments below.

Tooth Nation at it again

The “Vols by fiddy” crowd is trying to tell themselves they are going to plant the flag in the Shoe.

The last two times they convinced themselves they were going to show Georgia up in Athens, they ended up leaving Sanford with their rat-tails between their legs blaming the rain and the officiating.

FWIW, here’s what I hope happens in Columbus:

What is it about Tennessee fans writing checks with their mouths that their team can’t cash?

Discuss in the comments, Refugees.

I guess they solved all of Ohio’s problems

I really thought this was fake news at first.

From On3:

How about don’t lose at home to Michigan?

AnOSU fans everywhere should be embarrassed by this proposal.

Next thing we know, the Ohio legislature is going to tell the Ohio state law enforcement apparatus to arrest Javon Bullard the next time he plays in Cleveland or Cincinnati.

Bunch of whiners.

Comment, Refugees.