Monday Musings: Carnac the Magnificent

Based on the earlier post this morning, Georgia is being slated to win 9.5 games. That would suggest two projected losses and one toss-up from the 12 games this year. Here’s the schedule, in case you weren’t aware:

Looking at it, no doubt it’s tough. Given some of the on-field product from 2024, it’s understandable for some Munsons on here to see four or more losses. The rosy optimistic might see that we get some of the hardest at home and can run the table.

I’m a mix of both I guess, where I feel the 9 wins are easy to find here:

  • Marshall
  • Austin Peay
  • Tennessee
  • Kentucky
  • Auburn
  • Ole Miss
  • Miss State
  • Charlotte
  • Tech

Will they all be easy? Definitely not? I don’t see nope Miss having the same defense as last year and until Tennessee and Auburn show some signs of life against Georgia, I remain confident that we beat the Orange here easily. Tech will be tough as usual, and currently are being given a win likelihood of 7.5 by the same site referenced earlier. They could make some noise and we already know they’re scary as hell under Brent Key.

Florida could be the .5 game by oddsmakers, because they were very Jekyll and Hyde last year. They could be great, they could be putrid. I remain skeptical.

That leaves Alabama and Texas. I’m skeptical on Alabama because they seem to have the same stupid curse on us that Tennessee and Florida held on us during the 90s. As far as Texas goes, I thought they wouldn’t have any semblance of defense to survive an SEC season and turned out to have a pretty decent one (against fairly poor offenses on their schedule, but they were pretty tough and gritty). With the turnstiles on NIL spinning in Austin, what team will we see in Athens come November? Will Archduke actually be the second coming?

What’s your thoughts?

31 thoughts on “Monday Musings: Carnac the Magnificent

  1. In a shocker, Tennessee pulls off an upset. UGA swallows their pride and medicine and uses it as a catalyst to then go off and run the table for a rematch with Alabama in the SEC finale.

    PS- it’s July, what else am I to do?
    PSS- this is also why I don’t gamble

  2. I’m in the undefeated until we ain’t camp. I honestly don’t see any team that we can’t beat if we bring our A game. Clearly, there are many factors that you can’t control like key injuries, goofy officiating and weather. Still, when we were at Texas and facing some goofy officiating we still won, so that’s a W in my book at home. It is time to beat the Bama curse, and it starts this year! Did we just sit and wring our hands and say woe is me when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Let’s GOOOO!!!!!

  3. I’m guessing the sports books’ models are projecting 10 or 11 wins, but there’s no way with that schedule they were going to go 10 1/2 as the number. The under would have gotten pounded almost immediately. There are enough people in the single digit camp that a 9 1/2 keeps the money spread on the win total.

    We are a point spread favorite in every game that has been posted to date and will be favored in every game yet to be released.

  4. I’m in the under camp. 1) The OL is sketch

    2) Bobo is calling plays which get magnified by ^^^

    3) DL/DE doesn’t appear to have near level of play or depth as the last 8 years

    4) WR and RB rotation are question marks

    5) UGA has beaten Tech, Auburn, and Tennessee every time since 2017, old Lady Luck ain’t got that much in the tank.

    I do think Kirby will have a bunch of guys that will play tough, physical football. I’m just concerned the cumulative effect of depth and offensive ineptitude (similar to last season) will result in 3-4 losses.

    • I agree that 1-3 are a problem but don’t see them turning into more than 3 losses. Given the home atmosphere, I lean to only 2 losses. But Gunner has to make a leap.

    • I don’t see concerns addressing an underperforming OL that saw 4 currently on NFL rosters. The OL situation is what is going to limit the run game and challenge our offense to perform.

  5. I see two games in particular that could be a challenge: Bama and Texas. (Yes, I know I’m pointing out the painfully obvious like Tony Barnhart.) On a team-by-team basis, the rest of the schedule seems eminently winnable but the Dawgs are likely to be beat up and tired by early November. The cumulative effects of the gauntlet are likely to be worse than any given week.

    I feel like we may see a redux of last season: good but not dominant (and therefore frustrating to watch), with injuries and less experienced contributors playing a big role in determining where we wind up. There’s no shortage of talent but we’ll have to wait and see if it all clicks. If it doesn’t, it’ll be Bobo’s and Searels’ fault (/s).

    • “The cumulative effects of the gauntlet are likely to be worse than any given week.”

      This is a great point. With the expanded playoffs, I wonder if we’re going to see a shift away from SEC teams winning the title and towards B1G and maybe the occasional really good ACC team. Their conference schedules are so much easier, they’re likely to be fresher with fewer injuries in December and January.

      • That’s certainly possible. I also think we’re moving toward NFL-type seasons in that very few teams will finish the year with less than two losses. And the conferences and networks look forward to that because it’ll keep more fanbases and general interest viewers tuned in throughout the season.

  6. I don’t think Alabama can pull it off. Everything that could have gone their way went their way for an entire half last year while everything that could have gone wrong for Georgia went wrong and Alabama still needed some bullshit pull it out of their ass miracle to win that game.

    I just don’t believe in Texas. I think it’s all smoke and mirrors and wishful thinking. Dawgs run the table. Fuck em.

  7. European committee believes we will have 1 loss… and somehow the barn beats us…
    kirby plays 3d chess & we march into sec championship on fire, auburn finishes 6-6 & gets to b’ham bowl, and pga tour member sleezebag saves his job… the tigles continue to exist as a basketball school

  8. Tennessee will be a tough out early. They should have a solid defense, good running game, and off course home field. I think we knock Bama out this year if for no reason other than that Kirby has had this one circled for a good while, and they don’t have a RB playing QB. We have a very young defense but also very talented. They have to shore up the middle because last year we really did not have a lineman who consistantly held up a double team, and that killed us multiple games where our linebackers got zone blocked out of the running lanes. Outside linebacker is also a huge issue on paper. I’m not so worried about our offense as of yet, because the pieces look to be there for an explosive unit. That said, if they again can’t run block and teams are not scared to have their DB’s turn their back to us in man, it will be a long year and we drop 3 or 4.

  9. I know Gunner is not completely wet behind the ears, but talk about a baptism by fire. I get the sense that we’re in for the opposing defense’s old familiar strategy of stacking the box and making our QB beat him with his arm.

  10. Tennessee may be hosting us with one lose. Fran Brown is building something at Syracuse. Also I’m sure Coach Fran will give Kirby any info he needs.
    We at least have a bye between Tenn. and Ala. But Bama has a bye also.
    Auburn scares me because they have a bye week before we see them and we face always a physical Kentucky team, although it is in Sanford Stadium. Any way you look at it the damn SEC is a gauntlet.

  11. I just feel another 10-2 season is ahead. Loss to Bama & someone else on the schedule, could be one of several teams. We’re due to lose a game to TN, Aub, FL, or tech. Just feels imminent for some reason (Munsoning!). Something is definitely off with the team every time we take the field against Bama, and it must come from the coaching staff. If you put a piece of coal in Kirby’s ass the week of Bama you’d have yourself a diamond by gameday. Lot of questions around the team this season and though I think the record will be the same, this will be a better team than last season and may be a tough out in the playoffs.

    • TLK, I see lots of questions surround this squad as well. I am not so sure that I see many upgrades from last year, specially up front on the O-line and D-line. I also think that we take a step back at QB, mainly due to inexperience. This could be a 9-3 or even 8-4 type of season. Heck, for all I know I could be 11-1. What do I know?

  12. Just a reminder to everyone that all the teams none of the teams on the schedule ring back the same team from last year and have issues also. Vols lost their QB late, Auburn, Bama, Ole Miss, and Texas have new QBs. Ole Miss and Tennessee also lost a ton on defense. Texas is replacing offensive lineman like Georgia. I think Tech will the most improved team.

    • Bama upgrades are just lots of returning starters on defense and good portal additions at DB and WR. Texas just filled holes at EDGE, DL and WR. No real improvement though, and OL will be worse.

      • Pretty sure we hit the portal too. Give me Kirby and his judgement over DeBoer and Kardashian any day.

        • We sure did, and agreed. But we really need to beat Bama this year.

  13. Dawgs on top! I can envision us running the table, but I could an upset several places along the way.

  14. I go back to my comment to Granthams Replacement. We had the lowest rushing output since the year after Searels’ left the first time. We had 4 OL who were either drafted or signed to a NFL roster. I don’t see a lot of proven depth and I have (and will continue) to have serious doubts about our OL Coaches ability to consistently coach all 5 OLineman to be on the same page at the same time.
    At the same time, I don’t think it could be underlined enough the absence of Will Muschamp on the sidelines as a coach versus an analyst hurt us during the year. After Vandy was done, our defense got a lot better with Muschamp able to spend a little more time on game day helping with the Defense.

    Those two coaching factors are why I think 9 wins might happen. I could see 10 but not more than that in the regular season.

  15. I’m in camp over. We get Bammer, Ole! Miss, TU, and Yech at home this year, after last year’s absolute travesty of a schedule (THANKYE SANKEY!). I know Jax is always a strange place for us, but FU is banking on Lagway staying healthy, as the cupboard appears QUITE bare behind him.

    • Tech is at the Benz this year, but we’ll be going for the Drought.

  16. A lot of “pundits” are banking on one play by Lagway as the reason they will beat us. It was busted coverage…and he SHOULD HAVE made that throw…otherwise he didn’t do anything. It was Beck who single handidly kept them in that game. They did have one drive where we lost focus on defense they had in the 2nd half…that’s it.

Comments are closed.