SEC Net YPP – Week 11

Posted on by

Been a while since I updated this, and it’s looking more and more like the results of the 2.0 threshold remains to be seen. For all the talk around the CFP rankings, look who sits atop the Net YPP for the SEC after Week 11’s games.

As for turnover margin:

Notes:

  • I’ve said it before, but what has happened with Auburn this year should be studied, not by journalists, but likely a sociologist or Harvard Business Institute. They have the numbers to indicate they should be every bit as good as Tennessee, but, man, turnovers. It’s almost as if Freeze does it on purpose. What’s interesting to note here is that Auburn’s season is in the trash, and it looks awful, but based on metrics, if they can play an error free game, they are going to give Alabama a run for their money. Unfortunately for Auburn, I don’t see that, since Alabama now has the highest turnover margin in the conference.
  • Likewise, I’m not sure anyone is really noting the job Kirby has done this year with this team. They clearly are a mental case, yet have beaten three of the teams above them in NetYPP, all the while turning the ball over at an alarming clip and not generating any turnovers themselves. The numbers and the results suggest this is a “transition year”, but if they keep playing like they did against Tennessee and Texas, the sky’s the limit. Looking at the potential CFP field, the worst thing that could happen to Georgia is to have to match up with Ole Miss or Alabama again, best case is they get a string of BIG teams with immobile quarterbacks and a reliance on the run game, which plays well into our team’s strengths.
  • If not Kirby, then Beamer could be a candidate for coach of the year, maybe outside of Clark Lea. Vanderbilt is living off of turnover margin and Carolina is getting stronger by the week, with Sellers evolving into a good to great quarterback and their defensive front absolutely killing it in league play. Vanderbilt has lost the luster a little bit and probably outkicked their coverage with an undisciplined and unfocused Alabama team, so my nod here goes to Beamer.
  • LSU has taken the most notable fall in both categories, wouldn’t be surprised if they decide Kelly isn’t the answer. News flash: he isn’t.
  • TAMU has lost footing in the turnover margin, which isn’t good for the Aggies. With an impending date against Texas upcoming, the defensive ship needs to be righted if they’re looking for an upset against the Longhorns. Texas’s defense is actually their stronger link, which is a bit of a surprise since they looked like they had no secondary during spring scrimmages last year. Ewers and the Sarkisian machine kind of underwhelm and don’t impress me much, considering they struggled to move the ball against an Arkansas team whose defense is only better than Mississippi State in DYPP. I’ll call it – the Texas/TAMU game is a meeting of the two most overhyped teams in the SEC. Bleh.
  • TAMU versus Auburn – why do I think this becomes Freeze’s push to save his job? I think Auburn has a legitimate chance to best the Aggies on the Plains this weekend.

7 thoughts on “SEC Net YPP – Week 11”

  1. Auburn isn’t beating Bama, but they could beat the Aggies. And I think the Aggies win over Texas.

    COTY in my book goes to Beamer, though I could see Lea getting it as well.

    In the playoffs, I wouldn’t mind another crack at either Bama or Ole Miss. Hard to beat a team twice.

    • Regarding everything you said above, my mileage does not vary much at all aside from the potential rematches. If they do occur, I hope it’s not until the semis after we’ve seal clubbed a couple of pretenders first

  2. I think LSU is looking for a coach this time next year. Kelly isn’t the answer but he hasn’t under performed long enough just yet.

  3. Auburn is so Auburn.
    I think they will win the next two games.
    For all Freeze’s faults, he has Bama’s number.

  4. Bama is one play away from 3 losses which would not have changed their numbers. Auburn is one of the best D’s according to this. I give them a good chance at the upset if they can pressure and contain Milroe. It would take Bama out of everything and open a spot in the tournament.

    Texas will beat TAMU. It’s a big brother thing.

    Have to see how Vandy finishes. I give them a shot over the Vols. If so then Lea is COTY but otherwise would look at Beamer.

    OM vs Texas in the SECCG. If Kiffen wins it, is he COTY? If they lose, does OM drop out of the playoffs? I’d guess so. If the BIG loser stays in (probably tOSU or Oregon) as they likely will, Sankey will immediately be lobbying for a CFP format change. Go to 16 AND choose the teams prior to conference championship games. Then do the bracket seeding after.

    I haven’t bothered with the Mumme poll. With the AQs, why rank teams? And the conference championship games distort the picture further. I didn’t want to feel this way but got to admit…I’m a little less interested in this than prior years. Hope this is not a permanent trend leading to the same disinterest I now have about the NFL.

    • You nailed it with the “Go to 16” comment. And I won’t be surprised if it goes to 20.

      • FCS has 24 teams in their playoff, so it wouldn’t shock me if they eventually get there at FBS. That will still let them preserve their precious byes and guarantee that Notre Dame can stay independent forever because they would have a spot even at 6-6. Unfortunately, I don’t see them ever eliminating the CGs so that will just be more wear and tear on the players.

Comments are closed.