This might be a good week to bet the under?
As many of you noted yesterday, there’s a popular perception that Saturday will be Manball, defense, and trying to play sound, controlling football. The projections from Frenau’s BCF Toys seems to agree that 55.5 is a bit robust, and coupled with Kirby’s history of not beating a man when they’re down (unless your name rhymes with Tennessee), it could be a place where Georgia not only doesn’t cover, but doesn’t allow a game to exceed the projected 55.5 point total. Since offenses are finding their rhythm, it’s the first game of the year, and the transfer portal has opened up a world where offenses are featuring over 50% new players, betting the under seems to be the safe route this weekend.
Also impressed that preseason #1 Texas is projected at a comfortable 80% to lose to Ohio State. Sunday would be a great day to try out those noise cancelling headphones and avoid social media for, say, a week. Whoever wins that one is going to insufferable, to say the least.
Consider this your Fabris Pool handicapper, though I’ve noticed that Week 1 is the only week of the year where I ever win in the Pool, and that’s what I call dumb luck. How did Week 0 go?
Three that didn’t beat the projected spread and three that didn’t hit the projected Over/Under.
This is why I don’t wager real money on sports betting, folks.
Do TCU and FSU rhyme with Tennessee?
Good point. He was definitely making a statement there, wasn’t he?
The spread and the total number look about as tasty as a vegemite sandwich. Failing to cover and the total going under will bring out the Karens in our fan base who want to talk to the manager.
now, I’m cold on the over, but regardless of the score – my TedTalk will be coming to a Wendy’s Drive Thru near you.
“Whoever wins that one is going to be insufferable, to say the least.”
“Going to be”?
That ship sailed long, long ago.
Truth. Just figuring it’ll be a level 11 instead of a level 10. But truer words have never been spoken.
Same will be true after the lsu-clemmons game.
I don’t get into the betting closely but so many ask me about how to play Georgia I’ve found the advice to take Kirby to cover and the under usually works but I don’t have the stats to prove it one way or the other.
Betting unders in Georgia games are going to net you in the positive at the end of the year.
I have fun playing in betting pools like the Fabris but I rarely gamble real money anymore. There are a lot of people saying that games are fixed. Not sure I believe the conspiracy to that level but I’m sure there is some hokey out there. One of y’all always remind us to look at the $$.
I have a friend who owns a construction company and he won the contract to change the graphics inside Mercedes Benz Stadium from Falcons to the super bowl teams. They were putting up Rams and Patriots graphics before the conference championship games were played. interesting.
I generally don’t like Georgia to cover when the spread is really large. My thoughts were validated when I read yesterday that Kirby is 0-12 against the spread when it’s 38 or more? Don’t know if it’s true, but it sounds true.
….Then again, Marshall is a team in turmoil. Could be the first!