SEC Net YPP – Week 7 – Wacky Cackalacky

Posted on by

Some movement occurred over the weekend, and it’s feeling like Week 8 will begin to shed some light on the metric that will help to project your CFP contenders and pretenders. Let’s get to the stats.

Turnover margin:

Notes:

  • Vanderbilt, you’re breaking the mold. A top 5 win, 4-2 record with an inexplicable (in retrospect) loss against Georgia State, they are currently atop the SEC conference standings alongside TAMU. Turnover margin is a difference maker…by the way, Coach Boom was spotted at the Vanderbilt game. Agent Boom, what are you doing? Bring it back to Athens, please.
  • Likewise, considering Georgia has played the #3 team and #5 team on the Net YPP rankings, it’s kind of sort of miraculous that a team that is middle of the pack in this metric and as low in turnover margin has a 5-1 record. Imagine, if you will, if Georgia put it all together for one game, or consecutive games. At this point, I think Kirby’s primary objective is to survive, not style points at metrics.
  • South Carolina, if you didn’t turn the ball over, what could you be? The Vanderbilt of 2024? Ole Miss shellacked the Gamecocks in Columbia, and it’s one of the few games where I feel like the metric played out on both ends to point to the better team. Untimely turnovers and solid offense are costing Beamer some much-needed victories.
  • Speaking of, Ole Miss, with multiple real injuries and fake injuries, leading metrics in both categories, and has two losses. Just a reminder Dawg fans…we could be doing worse. We might be when Ole Miss comes to town.
  • The gap between Florida and Tennessee isn’t as big as one would’ve thought based on pre-season conversations. Tennessee was supposed to be the SEC darlings, and Florida the team that would have a mid-season resignation and fly in Kiffin to save the day. Peep the metrics, Handbags, the grass isn’t necessarily greener in Oxford, as the Laner should be undefeated…but he’s not. And that’s not scheme or ball knowledge, that’s on roster management, which is one of Florida’s problems of practice. If you don’t keep Billy, you need to look elsewhere.
  • It’s not hard to look at this and see why Texas is undefeated and number one. Margin of win and Net YPP both point to the Longhorns being a considerable favorite to make the CFP, but as I referenced yesterday, they’ve only played two of the lowest teams in YPP, so “tested” isn’t a term I’d apply to the Longhorns. Their defense looks other-worldly, but just a reminder – in Week 4, Tennessee owned the best Defensive YPP in the SEC, and that’s prior to playing the #7, #8, and #14 OYPP teams in the SEC. And they lost to one of them that is currently #11 in Net YPP. Ole Miss was #1 in OYPP in Week 4, and has dropped since playing the #6, #7, and #12 teams in DYPP. And they lost the lower of the two of those teams (Kentucky #7, LSU, #12).

3 thoughts on “SEC Net YPP – Week 7 – Wacky Cackalacky”

  1. I wish Ole Miss came to town. We’re heading there. I hope Kirby remembers what happened the last time he took a team there, and deals out appropriate payback.

    I liked the net YPP stat a lot better when we were near the top of it. Hopefully this week starts to turn it around a little bit. Let’s go plus on the turnovers and see what happens.

  2. Ole Miss ain’t coming to town. We’re headed to Oxford after the WLOCP.

    Hopefully, when we get back for our three game home stand, we have something left to play for.

    I think we need a W Saturday or we’re going to find ourselves on elimination watch in Oxford and the following week vs. the vols. Scary thought.

    Get the W and we can split those and pretty much be assured of a spot save for the unknown of what may happen to a seccg loser with 3 losses.

    As the past is prologue:

    Herbie in 2024: Georgia can’t get in with three losses!

    Herbie in 2025: Ohio State has to be in with three losses! They shouldn’t be punished for playing in their conference championship game!!

    Or switch the years around. It doesn’t matter.

  3. Thinking about the Senator’s commentary on this in the past my concern is we are who we are. Offense is good and with the upcoming schedule unlikely to increase YPP much (though others may regress). Our defense is also unlikely to reduce YPP by 2, so we probably won’t reach the magic Net YPP of 2.0 or better. With the expanded playoffs that target may matter less, but as a comparison to the last few years we can see who….well, you know the rest.

Comments are closed.